After fresh years filled with tragic events, conflicts or global pandemics, each of us expects a breakthrough in the form of an end. The end of populism, the end of war, or the end of the right-wing offensive which Trump opened in 2024, which crosses Europe, both America and inevitably brings us closer to an open war with Russia Putin. On the another hand, we should be ready for 2026 to be the beginning... of the end.
Over the course of the year, he recorded strong voices throughout the socio-political world. In any respects, he disappointed us, in any cases he confirmed, and in any cases he poured unexpected and so-expected hope. alternatively of analyzing what is already behind us, let us look at what is coming. After fresh years filled with tragic events, conflicts or global pandemics, each of us expects a breakthrough in the form of an end. The end of populism, the end of war, or the end of the right-wing offensive which Trump opened in 2024, which crosses Europe, both America and inevitably brings us closer to an open war with Russia Putin. On the another hand, we should be ready for 2026 to be the beginning... of the end. The end of the planet as we know it, the end of hope for a united Europe. In this article, I would like to approximate twenty-six and put it on 2 sides. Thirteen chances and thirteen threats of 2026.
- Threat – Donald Trump
Following us, the first, after a long break, year, to reconstruct America to the way of greatness” in the PDT. Donald Trump decided not to play in half-measures and all the concerns I shared with you last year, not only did he confirm, he doubled it, taking steps on specified a far-reaching way of absurdity that any limits of rationality had already disappeared far beyond the horizon. First Year of Government 52. president Trump confirmed us in one. He doesn't care about us. The end of the war in Ukraine in 1 day turned into an endless effort to surrender its lands to Putin. The president of the United States has proven that he only cares about 1 thing, his own business. Ukraine is not in them, so the war will end as shortly as possible, not necessarily as rational as possible. Even if it meant bringing Putin closer to Polish borders.
- Chance – Donald Trump
Donald Trump proved this year that he not only could not do what he tried so hard to convince all of his constituents, but besides that he could not even master himself and not start fresh wars. The bombing of any cities in Venezuela is evident evidence of this. However, the won, short-term conflict with Maduro proved 1 affirmative thing about Trump that we have known for a long time. Although he hates the language of «democratic bureaucrats», the language of authoritarian dictators understands very well. His encounters with Xi Jinping and Putin tell us 1 thing: Trump knows how to talk to tyrants. In the planet he gave us, it's a very crucial asset that can service him. The question is, are we truly going to benefit from it?
2. Threat – Grzegorz Braun
The presidential elections last year brought us not only spectacular expectations, but above all a shocking trend. After gaining a 4th result, Grzegorz Braun got wind in the sails and decided to usage it as much as possible. Since June, he has been gathering around the top madmen, conquering TikTok and breaking further boundaries of support. All for 1 intent – winning the 2027 elections. Before that, however, 2026. If this trend doesn't turn now, in a fewer years we'll wake up in a country ruled by a pro-Russian madman.
2. Chance – Radosław Sikorski
Although for Sikorski last year is primarily the year of another primary defeat and the end of the dream of the presidency, it is besides the year that made us all aware of how much we request it. Trzaskowski, against the background of a strong and strong Nawrocki, appeared mediocre, phlegmatic. So in a day of even greater danger, which is even more right-wing populists, we request individual much more hard and knowledgeable in hard negotiations at the head of the government. Only Sikorski in my opinion can give an impulse that will reverse the growth trend of the far right and reconstruct the Coalition on October 15 to play.
3. Hazard — right-wing KO
This is an crucial year for the largest organization in our political strategy at the moment. On the 1 hand, KO yet became a unchangeable poll leader, on the another hand, all of its coalitions lost support in these polls, and most of the coalition hangs by the hair. Tusk so took the shortcut and decided to redirect his organization to the right, resulting in a fight for Prohibition with Warsaw councillors. After many years of placing the platform on the left side and clearly identifying itself as an abortion, does KO have a chance to keep any credibility?
3. Chance – Pension Tusk
Returning on a white horse in 2023 Donald Tusk helped importantly liberal-left forces return to power. For a moment, however, the government seems to be losing control of its own party, and the government is becoming increasingly visible. If the current Prime Minister decides to yet go on well-deserved rest, he can save not only his image, but the organization and coalition.
4. Hazard — Nawrock Unification
For years, the Law and Justice had utilized old and proven tactics, no force to the right. In the last year, however, this rule was broken due to the fact that the Confederacy had already established its position on the political stage, and the madmen from Braun reached an unattainable limit of support. The current president, the only reliable right-winger who would be able to lead a fresh right-wing organization in which both Confederate and PiS Members would fit.
4. Chance – The fallout of the PiS
It seemed that the organization created by Kaczyński was a monolith which would not wobble independently of the circumstances. This was never about a beautiful relationship or generous idea, but a community of positions. In the face of danger, even the most utmost cranes were caying and uniting themselves with the full writing before the common enemy. Never against the president. present it is not so obvious, the PiS is falling apart into interest groups, which no longer see the erstwhile denominator in the form of a cunning, though aged man with a cat from Żoliborz.
5. Hazard — Population
The wave of populism has been flowing through the planet for a long time, but since 2024 and Trump's triumph we have culminated in it. Denying climate warming, striving to break down EU structures, beginning up to resurgent Russian imperialism. These are just a fewer of the reasons why they should be included in this combination. Indirectly, they're going to connect with respective threats here.
5. Chance – opposition to populism
Countries, especially from east Europe, are putting expanding emphasis on expanding civic awareness and combating misinformation. In the media, programs specified as the lie detector have already become popular, which deal with lies, most frequently populists.
6. Threat – Global warming – unstoppable
This year, sustainability and environmental activities have taken on a different nature. We've stopped. de facto We went 1 step further to combat global warming. We're trying to prepare for the consequences. That means 1 thing, we can't halt climate change anymore.
6. Chance – the climate defence of populists
Climate denialists are increasingly starting to admit that the climate is actually changing in the media. True, they find another absurd explanation for this, a natural change in the life cycles of the planet. Although this is of course an absurd argument, it is 1 thing. In 1 area, the populists switched to defensive positions.
7. Hazard — Artificial intelligence
This year, we are utilized to surviving with the popular GPT hut. As expected, however, our addiction to AI went far besides far. Young people treat him as an omniscient sage, confide in him their problems and question him of effective ways of committing suicide. Grok from the portal ,,X” serves in turn to strip photos with real women. Will virtual rape go on in 2026?
7. Chance – Artificial intelligence
This year, however, we have discovered another effective AI applications. We automate more and more processes, which allows us to shorten and improve the production time of many things. That's a good possible for 2026.
8. Hazard – TikTok
If anyone was wondering where Gregory Braun went with his pro-Russian lunatics, turn off the tv and scope for the phone. Ruska misinformation hid on TikTok. The content generated by AI is becoming increasingly dangerous and the oldest users of rollers, and above all, TikToka shows false, pro-Russian content that is simply a threat to all of us.
8. Chance – Social resilience
However, Russia's violent and violent year besides resulted in affirmative conclusions. In Poland we implement Civic Education in schools, for NGOs, grant competitions for projects that increase social resilience, and east European governments are taking steps to build up skills in society to fight Russia.
9. Hazard — Marginalisation of madmen
We cut the most utmost right from mass media on the Polish political stage. We're not giving these lunatics access to the microphone. As a result, their polls exceed the limits. 10% of the Confederation of the Polish Crown comes from TikTok, where they are called cut out from the Polish public space. In this way in 2026 we can strengthen them even more
9. Chance – The legitimacy of madmen
In 2026, however, we can effectively limit the support of pro-Russian supporters from the KKP. For this, however, it takes courage to put the worst right-wing liars on public television. This is the only way we can face their lying theories straight and explain them to the audience in front of the screens.
10. Hazard – Trump Championship
In 2026 we will have another large football tournament. In June, football players will play in the United States, Mexico and Canada planet Championships. If the tournament itself is going to run like a draw, we can anticipate a large political fiesta and manifestation of "trumpism". The president of the United States will not waste any marketing chance to sale his individual to the media. Are we going to have an embarrassing Trump advertising festival decorated with a small football?
10. Chance – Equality Championship?
It is not only the administration of the president of the United States that will have what to say in the upcoming Mundial. In Seattle, an yearly equality parade is planned, as Iran's representation will be present in the city. It's a clear demonstration of the power of the liberal left.
11. Threat – Republican Trumpization
Donald Trump's triumph in 2024 brought Republicans to a fresh path. A way completely different from the 1 we know so far. From a organization of gentlemen respecting dialogue, the law and seeking compromise became a organization of populists without looking into anything for which the law and dialog are of the least importance. Since Trump said in 2025 that he did not regulation out a precedent for a 3rd term, what will it bring us in 2026?
11. Chance – The Mamdanization of Democrats
The fresh York election took an interesting turn. It turned out that 1 could win in right-wing times, being a liberal-left force. Mamdani became a cure for Trumpism in fresh York. fresh Yorkers chose free communication and support for the poorest. possibly this is the direction that Bernie Sanders erstwhile set for Democrats in 2026 will be the winning direction.
12. Chances — Elections in Hungary
The first order of the article envisages starting with threats. For Hungary, however, the chance is more obvious, so I am exceptionally reversing the order. Since the turn of 2024/2025, Fidesz must prosecute the Tisza coalition in the polls. The main hoteler of our right in Budapest, Orban, must begin to get utilized to giving up power. And Ziobro, Romanowski and their future neighbors should start looking for fresh resorts where they will shelter from the Polish justice system.
12. hazard — Elections in Hungary
However, Hungary has long been no longer the cradle of democracy. Orban turned this country's strategy into a hybrid that caught up with authoritarianism. We cannot so be certain of the peaceful devotion of power. 14-year-old governments allowed him to establish his position at many levels. It inactive enjoys over 40% of support. So the king is not naked.
13. Hazard — failure of value
I am aware of the conservative sound of this threat. However, this is simply a conservative longing over a much more open planet of fresh decades. With the progressive digitization, the simple relationships we have between us are dying out. We've got applications for everything today, we've been working on everything. Work is no longer a place to make fresh friends. We no longer entrust the keys to our neighbors to ask them to look and take care of the flat in our absence. We don't visit anymore, we date downtown. Since uncovering love we have dating applications. The consequence is not only a demography disorder, but a serious social imbalance. This is the planet of the "Z" generation.
13. Chance – Generation ,,Z”
However, the generation of , , tek is not only a threat. The generation that takes over the planet is 1 that is not afraid to express its concerns clearly. He is not afraid to refuse to care for his welfare and intellectual comfort. possibly that's the honesty we need, alternatively of fake encounters with hated uncles and neighbors?
